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RESOURCES
AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT. Edited by Dominique Njinkeu and
Hugo Cameron. Cambridge University Press, December 2008. Following
in the wake of the World Trade Organization's engagement with Aid
for Trade, this book brings together a range of perspectives around
this emerging issue. The collection of articles in this volume presents
many of the ideas elaborated through research conducted by International
Lawyers and Economists Against Poverty (ILEAP) since 2005 and is
intended to provide a basis for further study. Since many of the
contributions on aid for trade to date have come from the North,
the book looks to deepen the debate by forwarding voices and experiences
from the South. The book traces the evolution of Aid for Trade from
its beginnings and examines the global architecture, modalities,
and costs associated with its implementation. Drawing on lessons
from national and regional experiences, this book further explores
ways in which Aid for Trade can both move forward and become a real
tool for poverty reduction in beneficiary countries. For more information,
please refer to http://www.cambridge.org/us/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521889513.
CURRENCY UNDERVALUATION AND SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS: A NEW ROLE
FOR THE WORLD TRADE ORGANISATION. By Aaditya Mattoo and Arvind Subramanian.
Peterson Institute, 2008. Two aspects of global imbalances-undervalued
exchange rates and sovereign wealth funds (SWFs)-require a multilateral
response. For reasons of inadequate leverage and eroding legitimacy,
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has not been effective in
dealing with undervalued exchange rates. Mattoo and Subramanian
propose new rules in the World Trade Organization (WTO) to discipline
cases of significant undervaluation that are clearly attributable
to government action. The rationale for WTO involvement is that
there are large trade consequences of undervalued exchange rates,
which act as both import tariffs and export subsidies, and that
the WTO's enforcement mechanism is credible and effective. The WTO
would not be involved in exchange rate management, and the authors'
proposals do not entail the WTO displacing the IMF. Rather, they
would harness the comparative advantage of the two institutions,
with the IMF providing the essential technical expertise in WTO
enforcement. On SWFs, there is a bargain to be struck between countries
with SWFs, which want secure and liberal access for their capital,
and capital-importing countries that have concerns about the objectives
and operations of SWFs. The WTO is the natural place to strike this
bargain. Its services agreement, the General Agreement on Trade
in Services, already covers investments by SWFs, and other agreements
offer a precedent for designing disciplines for SWFs. Placing the
two issues on the trade negotiating agenda may help reenergize the
Doha Round of trade negotiations by rekindling serious private-sector
interest in the WTO system, the absence of which has immobilized
and ultimately derailed the round. The paper is available online
at http://petersoninstitute.org/publications/interstitial.cfm?ResearchID=871
INVENTORIES, LUMPY TRADE, AND LARGE DEVALUATIONS. By George Alessandria,
Joseph Kaboski, and Virgilio Midrigan. National Bureau of Economic
Research, February 2008. Fixed transaction costs and delivery lags
are important costs of international trade. These costs lead firms
to import infrequently and hold substantially larger inventories
of imported goods than domestic goods. Using multiple sources of
data, the paper documents these facts and shows that a parsimoniously
parameterized model economy with importers facing an (S, s)-type
inventory management problem successfully accounts for these features
of the data. Moreover, the model can account for import and import
price dynamics in the aftermath of large devaluations. In particular,
desired inventory adjustment in response to a sudden, large increase
in the relative price of imported goods creates a short-term trade
implosion, an immediate, temporary drop in the value and number
of distinct varieties imported, as well as a slow increase in the
retail price of imported goods. This study of six current account
reversals following large devaluation episodes in the last decade
provides strong support for the model's predictions. For more information,
please refer to http://www.nber.org/papers/w13790.
EXTERNAL TARIFF LIBERALISATION IN CARICOM: A COMMODITY-LEVEL ANALYSIS:
By Azim M. Sadikov. IMF, 2008. This paper estimates the impact of
the tariff liberalization in the four largest CARICOM countries
(Barbados, Guyana, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago) on their trade
flows. It traces changes in the product-line imports from CARICOM
and non-CARICOM countries against time and commodity-level variation
in external tariffs. The author finds that in each country the reduction
of the external tariff, which eroded preferences enjoyed by member
imports, increased the ratio of imports from non-member countries
to imports from member countries. In Trinidad and Tobago, the higher
ratio was largely the result of non-member imports crowding out
member imports. In the three other countries, the ratio increased
mainly because of higher non-member imports; there is little evidence
that tariff reductions had an impact on member imports. Findings
suggest that in Trinidad and Tobago liberalization of the external
tariff reversed some of the trade diversion effects of CARICOM.
The paper is available online at http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.cfm?sk=21616.0.
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